Essays, Publications

Solution to Iranian nuclear dossier & its role on the Middle East Zone Free of Weapons of Mass Destruction (MEWMDFZ)

Over a decade of nuclear negotiations between Iran and the P5+1 (the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) and Germany) have failed. The window for a diplomatic resolution will be most opportune during the second term of President Obama and the election of moderate Iranian president Hassan Rouhani. They have both voiced their readiness for a diplomatic resolution to the current standoff. There is, however, a risk that if the current US/Western policy of pressure politics continues, we will inch toward a military confrontation. In a broader sense, the outcome of the nuclear negotiations will have a profound impact on nuclear non-proliferation, Nuclear Weapons Free Zone (NWFZ) and Weapons of Mass Destruction Free Zone (WMDFZ) in the Middle East. The proposed paper will examine the prospects for a breakthrough in nuclear talks between Iran and the P5+1. A negotiated settlement will be based on the framework of the nuclear Non- Proliferation Treaty (NPT), with measures to address key demands from all parties involved. For the P5+1, this includes transparency and verification over the nature of Iranian nuclear program, ensuring there will be no breakout capability. For the Iranians, their main demand includes recognition of their rights under the NPT, including enrichment and lifting sanctions. Any negotiated settlement on the Iranian nuclear file will inevitably introduce modified and newly formulated measures and technical modalities, which will enhance non-proliferation efforts. These milestones will pave the way to strengthen the call for concerted efforts to realize the WMDFZ in the Middle East.

Read Policy Paper

“Solution to Iranian nuclear dossier & its role on the Middle East Zone Free of Weapons of Mass Destruction (MEWMDFZ),” Hossein Mousavian, European University Institute, Policy Paper, No.22. Published by Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies Global Governance Program, December 2013.

انتشارات, مقاله ها

اندیشکده آلمانی: راه حل نهایی مناقشه هسته‌ای ایران چیست؟

برنامه هسته‌ای ایران اولویت اول دولت‌های غربی در دهه گذشته بوده است. از سال 2006 نظام ظالمانه تحریم‌ها شکل گرفت. در 24 نوامبر 2013، اعضای ثابت شورای امنیت سازمان ملل به همراه آلمان (گروه 1+5) از تکرار اشتباهات گذشته پرهیز کرده و از طریق مذاکره واقعی و صادقانه به مهم‌ترین توافق در پرونده هسته‌ای ایران رسیدند. بر اساس این توافق ایران غنی‌سازی اورانیوم بیش از ۵ درصد را متوقف کرده، ذخایر اورانیوم خود را محدود کرده و امکان دسترسی بیشتر به تأسیسات اتمی خود را برای بازرسان آژانس بین‌المللی انرژی اتمی (IAEA) فراهم می‌کند. بعلاوه، ایران از انجام فعالیت‌های بازفراوری اجتناب کرده و توسعه بیشتر تأسیسات آب‌سنگین اراک را متوقف می‌کند. در عوض، 1+5 تحریم‌های جدیدی را تصویب نکرده و تحریم‌های محدودی را نیز برمی‌دارد. علیرغم این پیشرفت تاریخی، این سؤال باقی می‌ماند که آیا ایران و شرکای مذاکرات از این فرصت تاریخی برای رسیدن به راه‌حلی جامع و پایدار در شش ماه تا یک سال آینده استفاده خواهند کرد یا خیر.
 

توافق ژنو زمینه را برای توافق نهایی آماده می‌کند که می‌تواند برای تمام گروه‌های درگیر مفید باشد. برای یک توافق نهایی موفق باید پنج نکته رعایت شود

ادامه مطلب

 اندیشکده آلمانی: راه حل نهایی مناقشه هسته‌ای ایران چیست؟ – حسین موسویان – اشراف – ۲۴ آذر ۱۳۹۲

Essays, Publications

Solving the Nuclear Conflict with Iran

Key Points:

  • The breakthrough in the negotiations with regard to the Iranian nuclear program was reached because the parameters of the negotiations have changed. This enabled rapprochement between Iran and the United States. The willingness of the P5+1 to accept limited enrichment and provide sanctions relief was key to securing Iranian consent.
  • A sustainable solution to the nuclear conflict with Iran can be agreed upon only on the basis of the NPT and necessitates an end to the discrimination of Iran compared to other member states. Measures that go beyond the provisions of the NPT can be complied with for a specified period of time as a confidence building measure.
  • A final deal can be reached if US-Iran relations are further improved to guarantee domestic US support for an agreement.

Read Policy Brief

“Solving the Nuclear Conflict with Iran,” Hossein Mousavian, Korber Policy Brief, No.2. Published by Korber Foundation, December 2013.