Interviews, Media

Aljazeera: While the recent war has increased mistrust and political opposition on both sides, it may also have clarified the costs of conflict,” said Mousavian

Interview with Aljazeera, June 16, 2026

At the heart of this particular aspect of the dispute is a longstanding disagreement over the purpose of Iran’s nuclear program, according to Seyed Hossein Mousavian, an Iranian policymaker and former diplomat who served on Tehran’s nuclear negotiating team in talks with the European Union and the International Atomic Energy Agency.

The hardest battle will be “to reconcile Iran’s insistence on maintaining a peaceful enrichment program under the [Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons], with Washington’s demand for stringent restrictions that ensure the program cannot be diverted toward military purposes,” Mousavian told Al Jazeera.

Mousavian, however, does not view the phased release of frozen assets as leverage, but rather as a confidence-building measure.

“Iran has previously indicated flexibility on measures such as limits on enrichment levels, enhanced monitoring, and reducing or relocating portions of its enriched uranium stockpile, provided that its right to enrichment is formally recognized and that it receives tangible economic benefits,” he said.

The next 60 days may determine not only whether Washington and Tehran can agree on enrichment and sanctions relief, but whether a ceasefire designed to end a war can evolve into a broader agreement capable of preventing the next one. “Ironically, while the recent war has increased mistrust and political opposition on both sides, it may also have clarified the costs of conflict,” said Mousavian.

https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/6/16/optics-of-peace-first-details-later-the-us-iran-60-day-challenge

Interviews, Media

The New Yorker: Iran Can Hold America Hostage in Either War or Peace

Robin Wright’s Interview with Mousavian-June 12, 2026

“Hormuz from now on is not going to go back to the situation of past decades,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, a former nuclear negotiator for Iran who is now a researcher at Princeton, told me. Hormuz will continue to be “a major element of deterrence of Iranian strategy.” Mousavian balked at the idea that Iran was taking the world hostage. He called it leverage. “Iran has been faced with the madman policies of Israel and the U.S.,” he said. “If you are mad, we are going to be more mad than you. This is what they are doing practically.”

https://www.newyorker.com/preview/article/6a2c3a3b88a3e5594c324707?status=draft&debug_config=copliot;t=1781284158550

Interviews, Media

War on Iran has triggered a fundamental crisis of trust in the nuclear non-proliferation treaty

Interview-Mousavian – TRT – May 11, 2026

US media outlet Axios reported that US and Tehran were on the verge of agreeing on a one-page memorandum of understanding, raising hopes for potential de-escalation. However, the US president dismissed Iran’s response to the proposal, calling it ‘totally unacceptable’. Among its key points, Tehran’s latest proposal included an end to the war on all fronts, the lifting of the US blockade on Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, and guarantees against any further attacks on Iran. Washington’s swift rejection led to a spike in oil prices, while the traffic through Hormuz remains highly limited. Meanwhile, in an interview with CBS News, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the war with Iran is not ‘over’, as Tel Aviv is also stepping up its attacks on Lebanon.

Guests: Seyed Hossein Mousavian Visiting Research Collaborator at Princeton University

Fawaz Gerges Professor of International Relations at LSE

Daniel Levy President of the US/Middle East Project

Liam Collins Retired US Army Colonel

Q1: President Trump has said the war would end soon, but we are now in week 10. How do you assess the current situation, especially after he called Iran’s latest peace proposal “totally unacceptable”?

A: There are three major obstacles preventing an agreement between Iran and the United States. First, the U.S. is seeking an agreement that effectively signals Iran’s capitulation or submission, which Tehran firmly rejects.

Second, Iran insists that any nuclear agreement must be based on the NPT, to which both countries are parties. However, the United States is pushing for terms beyond the NPT framework, such as dismantling Iran’s nuclear facilities—similar to the Libya model—or requiring Iran to export its enriched uranium. From Iran’s perspective, these demands constitute clear violations of international law, as there is no legal basis for forcing an NPT member to dismantle its peaceful nuclear program.

Third, Iran seeks an agreement that would effectively end the war, whereas the United States appears to favor an arrangement that leaves the option open for future military action. This includes allowing Israel to continue its operations in Lebanon. These three issues remain the core barriers to any deal.

Q2: Reports suggest that the situation inside Iran is placing severe economic pressure on the population. How long can Iranians endure these conditions, and what does it mean for the system?

A: The economic pressures are real—high inflation, unemployment, and damage to industrial infrastructure have significantly affected daily life. However, if we look at the past 47 years, Iran has endured continuous sanctions, external pressures, cyber operations, and even an eight-year war following Saddam Hussein’s invasion. Despite these challenges, the country has shown a high level of resilience. That said, the longer the current situation continues, the more severe the economic and social consequences will become.

Q3: You have previously argued that the United States cannot be trusted in diplomacy. Given recent developments, why should Iran still believe negotiations can work?

A: Iran has consistently maintained that it cannot fully trust the United States, yet it has never abandoned diplomacy. The distrust stems from concrete experience. There was a comprehensive agreement—the JCPOA—endorsed by the United Nations Security Council through Resolution 2231, and verified by the IAEA, with Iran in full compliance. Nevertheless, the United States withdrew and imposed a “maximum pressure” policy.

This pattern has repeated itself. In 2025, negotiations were reportedly close to success, according to the Omani foreign minister, yet the United States resorted to military action. In 2026, again, diplomacy was advancing with significant progress, but was interrupted by renewed U.S. attacks. These episodes reinforce Iran’s perception that Washington is not committed to sustained diplomacy.

At the same time, many countries—including Oman, Qatar, Turkey, Egypt, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia—continue to encourage diplomatic engagement and actively push for a negotiated solution. However, as long as the three core issues I mentioned remain unresolved, reaching an agreement will remain difficult.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUeXM_n01Hg

Interviews, Media

Exclusive: Former American & Iranian Negotiators on Ceasefire Talks & How War Could End

Democracy Now, April 14,2026-Interview with Malley & Mousavian

Transcript

We’re joined now in the studio by two former negotiators for the U.S. and Iran in this Democracy Now! exclusive.

Ambassador Seyed Hossein Mousavian served as spokesperson for Iran in its nuclear negotiations with the European Union from 2003 to 2005. He also served as Iran’s ambassador to Germany. He’s author of two books, The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: A Memoir and, most recently, Iran and the United States: An Insider’s View on the Failed Past and the Road to Peace.

And we’re joined by Rob Malley. He was one of the negotiators on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, known as the JCPOA, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. He served as a senior Middle East official under Presidents Clinton, Obama and Biden. Under Biden, he served as the special envoy for Iran. He is now a lecturer at Yale University, former president of the International Crisis Group, co-author with Hussein Agha of a new book, Tomorrow Is Yesterday: Life, Death, and the Pursuit of Peace in Israel/Palestine.

AMY GOODMAN: Why don’t we start off, in this exclusive we have with the two of you at the table, American and Iranian negotiator, with your assessment of what’s taken place? It can be right through to this week, the failed negotiations, and before that, the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. Why don’t we begin with you, Rob Malley?

ROBERT MALLEY: Well, first, I think — thanks for having me.

You know, we can’t ignore the fact that this war was unlawful, unjustified, unnecessary. And I think even if we’re now going to talk about negotiations, even if the negotiations are to succeed, none of that could let us forget or excuse how we got here. So, I do want to insist on that, because, you know, if negotiations succeed, it’s going to be too quick for the administration to say, “You see? We were right.”

But I think the real question now is whether the U.S. and Iran are engaging in these negotiations, trying to find a solution that will meet both their sides’ core needs, or whether, in this case, the U.S. takes the attitude that “we won the war because we’re stronger, and if you’re not accepting the war, then you’re going to — we’re going to inflict more pain.” That won’t work. And it won’t work because Iran believes, and with some justification, that it has inflicted pain on the U.S. and that every day that goes by, it’s going to inflict more. So, they’re not in a position right now where Iran is sort of begging for a deal because it wants to avoid an escalation. They believe, again, rightly or wrongly, that they could sustain the pain longer than the U.S. can.

AMY GOODMAN: Well, as you talk about what Iran believes, let’s go to the Iranian ambassador, Hossein Mousavian. Your assessment of what has taken place? Now it seems to be coming down to the nuclear negotiations, around, well, Iran saying they’ll do a moratorium for five years and the United States demanding 20. But, overall, the picture?

SEYED HOSSEIN MOUSAVIAN: I think Iranians are now coming to the negotiating table with more mistrust than ever, because once the deal was agreed in 2015, Iran was in full compliance, and the U.S. withdrew. Then there was a nuclear negotiation between Iran and the U.S. in 2025. The negotiations, as the foreign minister of Oman said, had significant progress; a deal was within reach. The U.S. withdrew and attacked Iran. We had negotiations in 2026. Again, as the Omani foreign minister said, negotiations had significant progress, and a deal was within reach. Again, the U.S. attacked. Then we had the latest round in Islamabad. It was a one-day negotiation—the highest level after the revolution, after 48 years. The U.S. side said there was progress; only the nuclear issue was not agreed. We agreed on everything, as President Trump said. The Iranian foreign minister also said we were very close to a final deal. And then immediately the U.S. imposed a blockade, a maritime blockade. That is why they really do not know whether the U.S. is genuinely committed to diplomacy or not.

If we are talking now about the nuclear issue, first of all, every assessment of all U.S. intelligence establishments since 2007 has consistently stated no evidence of weaponization and no evidence of an Iranian decision to build nuclear weapons—even in 2025 and 2026. This is the U.S. security assessment: no decision to go nuclear and no evidence of weaponization. Every IAEA report since 2003 has also said there is no evidence of weaponization. Therefore, there was no imminent threat. And I believe it was an illegal war, no doubt. The overwhelming majority of the international community has also insisted the war was illegal. Now we are coming to the negotiations.

The biggest issue you have heard during the last two years is Iran’s 450 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium. They say Iran could make 10 nuclear bombs if it decides to do so. And even you hear from American officials that they are insisting on this stockpile. But I don’t know whether people know that in the 2025 negotiations, Iran said it was ready to dilute all 60% material down to below 5%. In the 2026 negotiations, Iran officially told the Americans it was ready to dilute. This was confirmed by the Omani foreign minister in his interview with Face the Nation, stating that Iran was and is ready to dilute its entire stockpile to below 5%. Iran accepted to suspend enrichment for some years. Iran accepted to have zero stockpile. Therefore, there is no worry—and there was no worry—about high-level enriched uranium stockpiles.

The other issue is the IAEA, the International Atomic Energy Agency. They have ambiguities and technical questions about Iran’s nuclear program. Iran was in full compliance with the JCPOA. The JCPOA was the most comprehensive agreement in the history of nonproliferation, with Iranian commitments going far beyond the NPT. But Iran accepted it. And then, in the 2025 talks and again in the 2026 nuclear talks in Islamabad, Iranians said: “We are ready to go to the highest level of transparency and cooperation with the IAEA to address every technical ambiguity.” Therefore, when Iran was ready to dilute its entire stockpile, when Iran was ready to reach the maximum level of cooperation with the IAEA to remove concerns about possible military dimensions, and when Iran was also ready to suspend enrichment for some years and accept zero stockpile, then why the blockade?

I really do not understand whether the issue is nuclear or not, because we have heard from American officials who have publicly said the aim was controlling Iranian oil reserves. And we have also heard from American officials that the aim was regime change. If the aim is controlling Iranian oil reserves like Venezuela, or if the aim is regime change while using the nuclear issue as a pretext, then we are not going to have any deal.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: Ambassador, I wanted to ask you precisely about this issue of how the Trump administration often tries to confuse in the American public the difference between enrichment of uranium for peaceful purposes versus — which Iran, like all signatories of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, have a right to do — and the actual development of bombs, of a nuclear bomb, and also the fact that the former Ayatollah Khamenei specifically had a fatwa against Iran developing a nuclear bomb. Could you explain that position of the leader who was killed by the United States?

SEYED HOSSEIN MOUSAVIAN: Actually, what Iranians are saying concerns their legitimate legal rights under the NPT. Argentina has enrichment. Brazil has enrichment. Germany has enrichment. Japan has enrichment. And none of them has nuclear weapons, while all are members of the NPT. Iran does not accept any deal that would make it the only NPT member discriminated against with respect to its legitimate legal rights under the treaty. Therefore, respecting Iran’s rights, like those of any other NPT member, to enrichment is one issue; the exercise of those rights is another.

Iran was ready, as a confidence-building measure, not to exercise those rights for a specific period. What the U.S. is demanding—zero enrichment—is, in Iran’s view, a clear violation of the Non-Proliferation Treaty. Of course, Ayatollah Khamenei has stated that all weapons of mass destruction are religiously forbidden (haram). Iran is a member of the NPT, and the important point is that despite being one of the most heavily sanctioned countries in the world, Iran has never diverted its nuclear program toward weaponization, as confirmed by all U.S. intelligence assessments and the IAEA.

Therefore, we need to distinguish between respecting Iran’s rights, like those of other NPT members, to peaceful nuclear technology—which is one issue—and confidence-building measures, such as temporary suspension of enrichment, transparency steps, or zero stockpile arrangements, which are another. I think we need to keep a clear distinction between these two.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: And I’d like to ask Rob Malley — the negotiators for the Trump administration in the latest round have continued to include Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, two people who would have, some would say, virtually no knowledge of the complexity of negotiations over nuclear enrichment and the development of nuclear bombs. Your assessment of their role in all of this, and also why, in all of this talk about Iran coming under some kind of international control, there is no mention of the fact that there’s one power that does have nuclear weapons in the Middle East — Israel — and it is not a party to the NPT?

ROBERT MALLEY: So, first, allow me to — you won’t be surprised that I have a little bit of a different appreciation from Hossein in terms of Iran’s nuclear program. I think there is some evidence, certainly at some point, that they did have a military program. And my view is that they’ve always — their view was “We’re going to hedge. We’re going to have a nuclear program, so that if we do want to develop a weapon, we can.” I think that’s — you know, one could understand why they did. But I think it’s pretty clear that they did have that. So, I don’t think that there was anything — that there was anything — and that’s why, by the way, President Obama negotiated the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, which was a way to contain — and, I think, successfully — Iran’s nuclear program, to make sure that if they were tempted to try to dash for a bomb, they couldn’t do it in a quick way, and it would be immediately verified. I think one of the dramatically tragic mistakes of the first Trump administration was to tear that deal up. So, I don’t think one has to be naive about what Iran was doing, and still see that in what Trump was doing was — produced exactly the wrong effects.

Now, in terms of the current negotiations, no, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff are not nuclear experts — by the way, nor am I. That’s not the issue. The issue is whether they’re surrounded by nuclear experts. And everything — all the reports that I’ve received is that when they negotiated with the Iranians in the past — I don’t know what happened in Islamabad, but in the past, they didn’t have nuclear experts. And so, there was — and I think this has been well documented, that they misunderstood Iranian positions. They couldn’t appreciate what they were actually trying to convey.

And part of it, I think, is because of the oddity of this administration, where so many of the decisions seem to rely and reside in one person, not the most reliable of all people. It’s the president of the United States. And he is very mercurial, and he’s very unpredictable, and he changes his mind, and he changes his objectives. We don’t really know what his objectives are in this conflict.

And so, I think what Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner did is they relayed what they heard from the Iranians. They didn’t really fully understand them. And then, depending on the president’s mood, he varied on whether he was in the mood to accept a negotiated deal or was more eager for confrontation. And my assessment is that, in this case, a bit emboldened by Venezuela — and we just saw the clip of where things are with that country — he felt he could not fail at a military endeavor. He was going to win. He was going to bring Iran to knees and then be able to dictate the terms of a settlement. That’s not what happened.

AMY GOODMAN: When the U.S. attacked and Israel attacked Iran, I thought it was very interesting that the Omani foreign minister, who was negotiating, who was mediating, actually took a plane to Washington, because he didn’t feel that Kushner and Witkoff were conveying what Iran was agreeing to. And he went on all the U.S. media he could, so that he could get President Trump’s attention, particularly on Fox. But I want to go to what he said on Face the Nation. This is Badr bin Hamad Albusaidi. He said Iran had agreed to abandon its nuclear enrichment and stockpiling program.

BADR BIN HAMAD ALBUSAIDI: If the ultimate objective is to ensure forever that Iran cannot have a nuclear bomb, I think we have cracked that problem through these negotiations by agreeing a very important breakthrough that has never been achieved anytime before. And I think if we can capture that and build on it, I think a deal is within our reach.

AMY GOODMAN: So, that was the Omani foreign minister. He actually kept repeating in all these interviews — he had a phrase — “This is better than Obama.” You know, someone had trained — it’s like they had said to him, “This is what Trump needs to hear,” because that’s Trump’s main motivating factor, “better than Obama.” You are, Rob Malley, one of the lead negotiators for the JCPOA, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. If you can explain why you — if you think this was better than what you achieved, and why, anyway, President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu attacked the very next day? And what happened that very next day, the Iranian girls’ school in Minab was taken out, it looks like with a U.S. missile, and 175 people, about, died, overwhelmingly primary school girls.

ROBERT MALLEY: So, I mean, I said it at the same time, either before or after the Omani foreign minister, because based on the reports, and Hossein just said that, Iran was agreeing to suspend enrichment for a period of years. That is beyond anything that either President Obama achieved or President Biden was — could have achieved. I mean, at that time, Iran was not talking about suspending; it was accepting limits. I think those limits were sufficient to contain Iran’s nuclear program. But if what President Trump wanted was to be able to say at the end of these negotiations, “I beat President Obama,” I would have granted him that, if it could have spared us a war, because it was — you know, it was a truism. Suspension is better than the limited enrichment that Iran had.

Now, again, I want to emphasize that marginal gain between suspension of enrichment or very low enrichment does not justify in any way, does not excuse, an illegal war that has caused the deaths that you mentioned, far more than that, destruction and now disruptions of the world economy, that then hurt the poorest nations first and foremost. And that’s, of course, also because of Iran’s reaction, but the trigger was the war that was launched by the United States and Israel.

So, if that was his goal — but I think it goes back to the point that I was making earlier. I think the war was launched by President Trump because he felt he could and he felt that he was on a roll, was on a roll after Venezuela, after the attack on Iran a year ago, that he could be the president who finally deals with this issue. He’s changed, in his view, the regime in Venezuela. He thought he could change the regime in Iran, and then, next, Cuba, and that he would go down in history as this person. The details didn’t matter. And I think he really felt unstoppable. And he felt that the experts who were warning him didn’t know what they were talking about; he knew better.

AMY GOODMAN: In his gut.

ROBERT MALLEY: In his gut, whatever gut he has, yes.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: I’d like to ask Ambassador Mousavian: Where do we go from here? Especially now that — after Trump announced this blockade of Iranian ports, and yet he’s getting no support from the European Union on this. And, of course, China has made it very clear that they are going to continue to expect to be able to get through, have their ships go through the Strait of Hormuz and to trade with Iran. What is the — what are the options for the United States? And also, can Iran survive a long-term blockade, economic blockade, by the United States?

SEYED HOSSEIN MOUSAVIAN: The naval blockade, based on United Nations Resolution 1974, is an act of war and an act of aggression. Therefore, internationally and legally, what the U.S. is doing constitutes a clear act of aggression or war, because it is causing suffering for a 90 million-strong nation, with the fear of famine and hunger affecting the population. This is not just about a state.

Nevertheless, regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the reality is that this strait remained open and free for navigation for 47 to 48 years. There was never any problem. Even after the first U.S.-Israeli war on Iran in 2025, Iran did not impose any restrictions on navigation. But when the U.S. and Israel attacked for the second time in 2026, Iranians felt this was an existential threat. That was the key difference. That is why they considered using all the tools available to them, one of which was the Strait of Hormuz. Nevertheless, they did not close the strait; they imposed limited restrictions. Internationally, this strait should remain open to free navigation, and there should be no restrictions. Legally and internationally, Iran cannot close it. However, there are also international rules that during wartime, a country that is attacked may impose limited and calculated restrictions on navigation, but not broad restrictions, and it cannot close the strait.

For the future, if the U.S. is looking for a nuclear deal—as we have already discussed—and as Rob said, they have already achieved what they wanted, more than in the Obama period and more than under the JCPOA, they can still achieve one additional major breakthrough on the nuclear issue. President Trump could propose that Iran move toward a multilateral enrichment mechanism in the Persian Gulf. I, together with nuclear scientists at Princeton University, have published multiple articles on this. The latest was 10 days before the 2025 war. We argued that rather than national enrichment—since Saudi Arabia is also seeking enrichment, and if Saudi Arabia obtains it, Egypt will seek it, and if Egypt obtains it, Turkey will follow—this trend could spread across the region and undermine nonproliferation. Instead, a multilateral enrichment arrangement in the region would be the best solution, fully under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency. The U.S., Russia, China, and other powers could also participate. This would be an international arrangement, similar to Urenco in Europe, where Germany, Spain, the U.K., and the Netherlands share enrichment. Therefore, beyond what nuclear negotiators have already achieved under President Trump—which is more than the JCPOA under President Obama—they could reach an additional major agreement: a regional arrangement that would help make the entire Persian Gulf free of nuclear weapons.

Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has not closed it. Iran says that if there is a deal—if the U.S. agrees not to attack Iran or to end the war—it will reopen it fully. Therefore, the U.S. could say, “OK, we will continue negotiations, and we are committed not to attack Iran again.” Because the U.S. has, directly or indirectly, been involved in conflicts with Iran multiple times: it indirectly cooperated with Saddam Hussein against Iran in the 1980s, including providing material and technical support for chemical weapons use; the second conflict was in 2025; the third in 2026; and now the blockade in 2026 is again being seen as an act of war. If the U.S. is truly serious about diplomacy, then diplomacy is possible, but it requires a commitment not to attack Iran again. In that case, Iran would open the Hormuz issue. That would be a good solution.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: And I’d also like to ask Rob Malley the situation with Israel, which is not — which has been attacking Iran but is not part of the current negotiations. What do you feel has happened between Israel and the Trump administration? Is there a divergence occurring between the two?

ROBERT MALLEY: So, I think they have different objectives. I mean, first of all, we don’t know what President Trump’s objectives are, so it’s hard to say how they’re different or they’re similar to Israel’s. But I think Israel has been consistent in its actions. What it wants is to weaken its neighbors, whoever they are. I mean, it’s happened in Gaza, which they destroyed. The West Bank, you just saw — we just saw what they’re doing there. Lebanon, which we could talk about, which is — they’ve devastated the country. A million people now have fled the south. They’ve killed hundreds of people even since the recent ceasefire, which apparently didn’t apply to Lebanon. And they would like to weaken, fragment Iran as much as possible, because they have this view that this is their opportunity to extinguish any threat, real or pretextual, imminent or into the future.

That’s not really, I think, President Trump’s view. Again, it’s hard to define it. But what that means is, Israel would prefer to prolong this war as long as possible. I don’t think that that’s President Trump’s ambition. And I think the day President Trump says it’s it, I think he will — that Prime Minister Netanyahu will not be able to do anything but acquiesce. So, we have to wait for that moment to happen, for the president to tell the Israelis it’s over, it’s over both in Iran and in Lebanon. I’m not sure what he’ll say about Lebanon, but at least in Iran. I don’t think Prime Minister Netanyahu could afford to stand in his way.

AMY GOODMAN: And I wanted to ask you, finally, Ambassador Mousavian, about — we’ve talked to so many Iranian professors, dissidents, you know, the thousands of Iranians who were killed in the streets recently. And, I mean, we haven’t talked to them, but noting that. I wanted to ask you about the — my surprise at how many of those, even people who have been on death row in the Evin Prison, have condemned the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. They say it will make the regime more right-wing, that this does not accomplish their ends. I’m wondering your thoughts on all of these people who are coming out now and saying they want to be in charge of their own country; they don’t want these outside forces, because they’re destroying Iran.

SEYED HOSSEIN MOUSAVIAN: I think what Americans need to understand is that there is a clear distinction between Iranian dissatisfaction with the current governing system in Iran—I would say about 80% of Iranians are not happy with the system. They face problems of economic inflation, poverty, corruption, mismanagement, and general dysfunctionality of the system—there is no doubt about that. I am sure the majority of Iranians want major reforms. Their main concerns are economic issues, corruption, mismanagement, and systemic dysfunction.

Having said that, when they are attacked by the U.S., or especially by Israel, the whole nation tends to become united in defense of its integrity, independence, and identity—particularly when they hear statements from the U.S. president that he would eradicate Iranian civilization, or when Iranians are referred to as “animals” or “bastards.” Such language—humiliation, threats, bullying, and attacks—has a strong effect. I mean, Iran has suffered about 30,000 people killed or injured during the two wars, and hundreds of millions in damages. Over 100,000 non-military buildings have been destroyed. In such circumstances, it is normal that a nation becomes united to defend its country.


AMY GOODMAN: I’m going to leave it there, but, of course, we will not leave the discussions about what’s happening there, as we continue to cover them every day on Democracy Now! Ambassador Hossein Mousavian served as spokesperson for Iran in its nuclear negotiations with the European Union from 2003 to 2005, also served as Iran’s ambassador to Germany. And Robert Malley served as the special envoy for Iran under President Biden, also served as one of the negotiators on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal under President Obama.

Coming up, the president versus the pope. We’ll speak with Father James Martin, a Jesuit priest. Stay with us.

AMY GOODMAN: “Rican Beach” by Alynda Segarra and Hurray for the Riff Raff, performing in our Democracy Now! studio. To see her performance at our 30th anniversary, along with Bruce Springsteen and Patti Smith and Michael Stipe, you can go to democracynow.org. I’m Amy Goodman, with Juan González.

Interviews, Interviews, Media

موسویان:این باور در ایران در حال تقویت است که کشورهای دارنده سلاح هسته ای، کمتر در معرض حمله نظامی قرار می‌گیرند

پانل شبکه الجزیره-28 آوریل 2026

میهمانان

سید حسین موسویان — مذاکره‌کننده پیشین هسته‌ای ایران

طارق رئوف — رئیس پیشین هماهنگی سیاست‌های راستی‌آزمایی و امنیت در آژانس بین المللی انرژی اتمی

کلسی داونپورت — مدیر سیاست عدم اشاعه در انجمن کنترل تسلیحات آمریکا

موسویان

شورای امنیت سازمان ملل و آژانس بین المللی انرژی اتمی، به ابزاری سیاسی برخی قدرتهای جهانی تبدیل شده است

این باور در ایران در حال تقویت است که کشورهای دارنده سلاح هسته ای، کمتر در معرض حمله نظامی قرار می‌گیرند

سیاست انحصار سلاح هسته‌ای اسرائیل در خاورمیانه، مهم‌ترین مانع تحقق منطقه عاری از سلاح‌های کشتار جمعی در این منطقه است

رئوف: حملات به تأسیسات هسته‌ای تحت پادمان ایران را ضربه‌ای جدی به اعتبار نظام راستی‌آزمایی آژانس بود

کلسی: اعتماد جهانی به معاهده ان پی تی به‌تدریج در حال فرسایش است. احتمال دارد کشورهای بیشتری به دنبال دستیابی به سلاح هسته‌ای بروند

سید حسین موسویان استدلال کرد که اعتبار پیمان منع گسترش سلاح‌های هسته‌ای به‌دلیل استانداردهای دوگانه و ناکامی قدرت‌های هسته‌ای در اجرای تعهدات خود به‌شدت تضعیف شده است. او چهار نقض کلان معاهده ان پی تی توسط قدرتهای چهانی را به شرح ذیل برشمرد

نخست، قدرت‌های هسته‌ای به تعهدات خلع سلاح خود در چارچوب معاهده ان.پی.تی عمل نکرده‌اند؛

دوم، همچنان در حال مدرن‌سازی و گسترش زرادخانه‌های هسته‌ای خود هستند؛

سوم، قدرت‌های بزرگ روابط راهبردی نزدیکی با کشورهای هسته‌ای خارج از معاهده ان.پی.تی مانند اسرائیل، هند و پاکستان دارند؛ و

چهارم، در برخورد با حق استفاده صلح‌آمیز از فناوری هسته‌ای استاندارد دوگانه اعمال می‌شود. موسویان تأکید کرد که کشورهایی مانند برزیل، آرژانتین، آلمان، ژاپن و هلند سال‌هاست غنی‌سازی انجام می‌دهند، اما ایران با وجود عضویت در معاهده ان.پی.تی با مطالبه «غنی‌سازی صفر» مواجه است

او همچنین حملات آمریکا و اسرائیل به تأسیسات هسته‌ای تحت پادمان ایران را نقض آشکار حقوق بین‌الملل، منشور ملل متحد و اصول آژانس بین‌المللی انرژی اتمی دانست. وی گفت برنامه هسته‌ای ایران تحت نظارت کامل آژانس بوده و عدم محکومیت این حملات از سوی آژانس و شورای امنیت، این تصور را تقویت کرده که معاهده ان.پی.تی بیش از آنکه یک چارچوب حقوقی برای تامین امنیت بین الملل و بی‌طرف باشد، به ابزاری سیاسی برخی قدرتهای جهانی تبدیل شده است

موسویان اظهار داشت که بسیاری در ایران اکنون عضویت در معاهده ان.پی.تی را خود نوعی تهدید وجودی می‌دانند. او یادآور شد که از سال ۲۰۰۳ تاکنون، هم گزارش‌های آژانس و هم ارزیابی‌های اطلاعاتی آمریکا به‌طور مداوم تأکید کرده‌اند که هیچ نشانه‌ای از تصمیم ایران برای ساخت سلاح هسته‌ای وجود ندارد. با این حال، ایران حتی در زمانی که مذاکرات دیپلماتیک پیشرفت قابل‌توجهی داشت و توافق در دسترس بود، در سال‌های ۲۰۲۵ و ۲۰۲۶ هدف تحریم، فشار و حمله نظامی قرار گرفت. او این وضعیت را با کره شمالی مقایسه کرد و گفت در تهران این باور در حال تقویت است که کشورهایی که سلاح هسته‌ای دارند، کمتر در معرض حمله نظامی قرار می‌گیرند

وی همچنین تأکید کرد که ایران برجام را ــ که جامع‌ترین توافق عدم اشاعه در تاریخ بود ــ پذیرفت و به‌طور کامل اجرا کرد، ایران به تحت‌بازرسی‌ترین کشور تاریخ آژانس تبدیل شد و بخش قابل‌توجهی از منابع و بودجه آژانس صرف نظارت بر برنامه هسته‌ای ایران شد اما آمریکا از برجام خارج و گسترده ترین تحریمها را علیه ایران اعمال کرد

در حوزه امنیت منطقه‌ای، موسویان از ایده ایجاد منطقه عاری از سلاح هسته‌ای در خلیج فارس در چارچوب یک ساختار گسترده‌تر همکاری و امنیت منطقه‌ای در حوزه خلیج فارس حمایت کرد. او گفت چنین ساختاری باید امنیت دریایی، بحران‌های منطقه‌ای و اقدامات اعتمادساز را نیز دربر گیرد. در عین حال، او تأکید کرد که زرادخانه هسته‌ای اسرائیل و سیاست حفظ انحصار هسته‌ای اسرائیل در خاورمیانه، مهم‌ترین مانع تحقق منطقه عاری از سلاح‌های کشتار جمعی است

طارق رئوف

طارق رئوف معتقد بود که نظام معاهده ان.پی.تی با یکی از جدی‌ترین بحران‌های تاریخ خود مواجه است. او هشدار داد که فروپاشی توافق‌های کنترل تسلیحات میان آمریکا و روسیه، رقابت فزاینده هسته‌ای میان قدرت‌های بزرگ و تشدید تنش‌های ژئوپلیتیک، شکاف میان کشورهای هسته‌ای و غیرهسته‌ای را عمیق‌تر کرده است. رئوف حملات به تأسیسات هسته‌ای تحت پادمان ایران را ضربه‌ای جدی به اعتبار نظام راستی‌آزمایی آژانس دانست و هشدار داد که چنین اقداماتی ممکن است به‌جای جلوگیری از اشاعه، به گسترش آن دامن بزند

او همچنین تأکید کرد که زرادخانه هسته‌ای اعلام‌نشده اسرائیل یکی از عوامل اصلی بی‌ثباتی در خاورمیانه است. رئوف خواستار تلاش دوباره برای ایجاد منطقه عاری از سلاح هسته‌ای در خاورمیانه شد و گفت قدرت‌های غربی سال‌ها برنامه هسته‌ای اسرائیل را از نظارت و فشار بین‌المللی مصون نگه داشته‌اند

کلسی داونپورت

کلسی داونپورت تأکید کرد که معاهده ان.پی.تی همچنان ستون اصلی نظام جهانی عدم اشاعه است، اما هشدار داد که اعتماد به این پیمان به‌تدریج در حال فرسایش است. او گفت کنفرانس بازنگری باید علاوه بر تأکید مجدد بر حمایت از پیمان، با واقعیت کاهش اعتماد به کنترل تسلیحات و خلع سلاح نیز مواجه شود. به اعتقاد او، اگر کشورها به این نتیجه برسند که معاهده ان.پی.تی دیگر امنیت یا مسیر معتبری برای خلع سلاح فراهم نمی‌کند، احتمال دارد کشورهای بیشتری به دنبال دستیابی به سلاح هسته‌ای بروند

در حوزه امنیت منطقه‌ای، داونپورت از ایده منطقه عاری از سلاح هسته‌ای در خاورمیانه حمایت کرد، اما پیشنهاد داد که شاید رویکردی عملی‌تر، آغاز گفت‌وگوی امنیتی محدودتر میان ایران و کشورهای عرب خلیج فارس باشد. او معتقد بود پرداختن به نگرانی‌های امنیتی ریشه‌ای که محرک فشارهای هسته‌ای هستند، می‌تواند در آینده زمینه را برای محدودیت‌های هسته‌ای و شفافیت بیشتر در سطح منطقه فراهم کند

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8O57YE01n3k

Interviews, Interviews, Media

Mousavian:NPT has been severely undermined by double standards and the failure of nuclear-weapon states to fulfill their obligations

Aljazeera Panel Discussion, April 28, 2026

Mousavian

Seyed Hossein Mousavian argued that the credibility of the NPT has been severely undermined by double standards and the failure of nuclear-weapon states to fulfill their obligations. He emphasized four principal shortcomings: first, the nuclear powers have failed to meet their disarmament commitments under the treaty; second, they continue modernizing and expanding their arsenals; third, major powers maintain strategic relations with nuclear-armed states outside the NPT such as Israel, India, and Pakistan; and fourth, there is discriminatory treatment regarding peaceful nuclear technology. Mousavian noted that countries such as Brazil, Argentina, Germany, Japan, and the Netherlands enrich uranium without objection, while Iran faces demands for “zero enrichment” despite remaining within the NPT

He further argued that the U.S.–Israeli attacks on Iran’s safeguarded nuclear facilities represented a clear violation of international law, the UN Charter, and the principles of the IAEA. He stressed that Iran’s nuclear program has remained under IAEA safeguards and that neither the IAEA nor the UNSC condemned the attacks, reinforcing the perception that the NPT is increasingly being used as a political instrument rather than an impartial legal framework.

Mousavian stated that many Iranian decision-makers now see NPT membership itself as an existential vulnerability. He noted that since 2003, both IAEA reports and U.S. intelligence assessments have consistently found no evidence that Iran had decided to build nuclear weapons. Nevertheless, Iran was subjected to severe sanctions, military attacks, and coercive pressure even while diplomacy was advancing and agreements appeared within reach in both 2025 and 2026. He contrasted Iran’s experience with North Korea, arguing that Tehran increasingly believes countries possessing nuclear weapons are less likely to face military attack.

He also emphasized that Iran had accepted the JCPOA—the most comprehensive nonproliferation agreement in history—and implemented it fully under unprecedented inspection mechanisms. According to Mousavian, Iran became the most inspected country in the history of the IAEA, with a substantial share of the agency’s resources devoted to monitoring its nuclear activities.

On regional security, Mousavian supported the idea of a subregional nuclear-weapon-free zone in the Persian Gulf within a broader framework for regional security and cooperation. He argued that such a framework should address maritime security, regional crises, and broader confidence-building measures. At the same time, he maintained that Israel’s undeclared nuclear arsenal and the policy of preserving Israeli nuclear monopoly in the Middle East remain the central obstacles to establishing a regional WMD-free zone.

Tariq Rauf

Tariq Rauf argued that the NPT system is facing one of its gravest crises since its creation. He warned that the collapse of arms control agreements between the United States and Russia, renewed nuclear competition among major powers, and growing geopolitical tensions have deepened the divide between nuclear and non-nuclear states. He described the attacks on Iran’s safeguarded nuclear facilities as a major blow to the credibility of the IAEA verification system and warned that such actions could encourage proliferation rather than prevent it.

Rauf also stressed that Israel’s undeclared nuclear arsenal remains a major source of instability in the Middle East. He advocated renewed efforts to establish a Middle East nuclear-weapon-free zone and argued that Western powers have long shielded Israel’s nuclear program from international scrutiny.

Kelsey Davenport

Kelsey Davenport emphasized that the NPT remains the cornerstone of the global nonproliferation system, but warned that trust in the treaty is steadily eroding. She argued that the review conference must not only reaffirm support for the treaty but also confront the broader consequences of declining confidence in arms control and disarmament. According to Davenport, if states conclude that the NPT no longer provides security benefits or a credible path toward disarmament, more countries may seek nuclear weapons as protection against coercion.

On regional security, Davenport supported efforts toward a Middle East nuclear-weapon-free zone but suggested that a more practical approach might begin with a narrower Gulf-focused security dialogue involving Iran and Arab states. She argued that addressing the underlying security concerns driving proliferation pressures could eventually create conditions for broader regional nuclear restraints and transparency measures.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8O57YE01n3k

Interviews, Interviews, Media

Mousavian: NPT is shifting from a rules-based regime toward a more politicized instrument shaped by power dynamics rather than uniform application of its principles

Interview with Aljazeera, April 27, 2026

Hossein Mousavian, who worked on Iran’s nuclear diplomacy team in negotiations with the European Union and the IAEA, argued that the treaty’s credibility has also been damaged by what many states see as inconsistent enforcement of its principles.

“The record of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty has come under serious strain,” he said. “Nuclear-weapon states have fallen short of their disarmament commitments while continuing to modernise their arsenals, and some have developed strategic partnerships with nuclear-armed states outside the treaty.”

He added that attacks on nuclear facilities under IAEA safeguards have not been met with “clear and consistent responses” from either the UN Security Council or the IAEA, raising broader concerns among nonnuclear states about fairness and equal treatment under the treaty.

“The result is a growing perception that the NPT is shifting from a rules-based regime toward a more politicised instrument shaped by power dynamics rather than uniform application of its principles,” he said.

In May 2018, however, the US withdrew from the JCPOA. President Donald Trump, who described the deal as “defective at its core” ordered the withdrawal, a move that Mousavian said led to the current crisis.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/27/npt-summit-can-nuclear-pact-survive-us-israel-war-on-iran

Interviews, Interviews, Media

Mousavian: Washington needs to recognize that negotiations designed to force Iran’s surrender have neither worked in the past nor will they succeed in the future.

Wyoming Star News, Interview, April 24, 2026

Seyed Hossein Mousavian, a Visiting Research Collaborator with the Program on Science and Global Security at Princeton University and a former Iranian nuclear negotiator, offered a detailed diagnosis of the impasse:

“The negotiations are currently at a deadlock. The main reason is that both sides had agreed to a ceasefire followed by negotiations. Talks were held in Islamabad about 12 days ago. The first day of negotiations went well, and it was expected that a draft agreement would be finalized on the second day. However, the US delegation suddenly left Islamabad and immediately imposed a naval blockade on Iran. In response, Iran once again closed the Strait of Hormuz. Under international law, a naval blockade constitutes an act of war. Iran has stated that if the United States recommits to the ceasefire and lifts the naval blockade, it will reopen the Strait of Hormuz and return to negotiations. So far, Washington has not accepted these terms. As a result, Iran has continued to limit navigation in the Strait, which is why the situation remains at a deadlock.

The core problem is that US policy appears to be aimed at Iran’s capitulation. Washington needs to recognize that negotiations designed to force Iran’s surrender have neither worked in the past nor will they succeed in the future. Negotiations must be fair and mutually beneficial. Any viable agreement must allow both sides to save face, as each government needs to present the outcome as a success to its domestic audience.

While the agreement was in force, Iran fully complied with its commitments. The International Atomic Energy Agency had full oversight of Iran’s nuclear program, and in 16 reports over a period of three to four years, it consistently confirmed the peaceful nature of the program. During that time, Iran had no stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Iran also engaged in regional dialogue on Syria and Yemen with the United States, the EU, and the broader international community. When 16 US sailors accidentally entered Iranian territorial waters, direct communication between John Kerry and Mohammad Javad Zarif led to their release within 24 hours. President Trump could have built on this progress and pursued broader negotiations with Iran – what might be called a “JCPOA Plus” – to address regional issues rather than killing the deal.”

https://wyomingstarnews.org/2026/04/24/exclusive-operation-epstein-fury-part-11-a-neither-dead-nor-alive-ceasefire/

Interviews, پوشش رسانه ای, مصاحبه ها

موسویان در «الوطن» نقشه راه روابط ایران و آمریکا را ارائه می‌دهد

مصاحبه با الوطن مصر-23آوریل 2026

مسؤول سابق در «شورای عالی امنیت ملی ایران» نقشه راهی برای حل مناقشه میان واشنگتن و تهران ارائه می‌دهد

 
نویسنده: محمد عبدالعزیز
23
آوریل 2026

سید حسین موسویان، رئیس پیشین کمیته روابط خارجی در شورای عالی امنیت ملی ایران، دیپلمات سابق و استاد دانشگاه پرینستون، در گفت‌وگویی با «الوطن» تحلیلی گسترده از روابط ایران و آمریکا ارائه داد؛ تحلیلی که بیش از آنکه صرفاً پاسخ به پرسش‌های سیاسی باشد، تلاشی برای بازتعریف چارچوب کامل این مناقشه به نظر می‌رسد

از ابتدا، موسویان خطی میان گذشته و حال ترسیم می‌کند. به باور او، بحران دیگر صرفاً حول برنامه هسته‌ای نمی‌چرخد، بلکه به ساختاری گسترده‌تر از تنش‌های امنیتی و ژئوپلیتیکی تبدیل شده است. او تأکید می‌کند که تجربه چند دهه گذشته میان تهران و واشنگتن نشان داده است که همه توافق‌های جزئی و محدود پایدار نبوده‌اند و معمولاً تحت فشار تحولات منطقه‌ای یا تغییر دولت‌ها فروپاشیده‌اند. از این رو، او ایده‌ای متفاوت مطرح می‌کند: هر توافق آینده تنها زمانی موفق خواهد بود که ابتدا «تصویر نهایی» روابط دو کشور مشخص شود. به بیان او، بدون تصور روشن از شکل نهایی رابطه، هیچ توافق تدریجی یا جزئی معنا ندارد. او در این چارچوب به نوعی بازگشت تدریجی به وضعیت پیش از بحران گروگان‌گیری و پس از انقلاب 1979 اشاره می‌کند. او تأکید می‌کند این دیدگاه صرفاً نظری نیست، بلکه به یک «نقشه راه» پنج‌بندی منسجم تبدیل می‌شود که در گفت‌وگوی خود مطرح کرده است

نقشه راه روابط ایران و آمریکا را ارائه می‌دهد

سؤال: چگونه می‌توان به توافقی رسید که هم آمریکا و هم ایران را راضی کند؟

درس اصلی 47 سال گذشته این است که همه توافق‌های جزئی یا تک‌موضوعی میان واشنگتن و تهران شکست خورده‌اند. بنابراین دو کشور به یک توافق جامع نیاز دارند، نه یک توافق محدود دیگر. زیرا باید تصویر روشنی از وضعیت نهایی وجود داشته باشد. این وضعیت نهایی می‌تواند حرکت تدریجی به سمت عادی‌سازی روابط باشد، به‌گونه‌ای که روابط دو کشور به شرایط پس از انقلاب 1979 و پیش از بحران گروگان‌گیری بازگردد

سؤال: نقشه راه پیشنهادی چیست؟

به نظر من، این نقشه راه بر پنج اصل استوار است

  1. پرونده هسته‌ای: آمریکا می‌خواهد ایران در معاهده ان پی تی باقی بماند و سلاح هسته‌ای نسازد، چون استراتژی آمریکا، حفظ انحصار هسته‌ای اسرائیل در منطقه است. بنابراین، آمریکا باید حق ایران را طبق معاهده ان پی تی به رسمیت بشناسد که شامل حق غنی سازی است همان‌طور که برای کشورهایی مانند ژاپن، برزیل و آرژانتین قائل شده است. ایران نیز می‌تواند در اعمال این حق خویشتنداری نشان دهد، از جمله پذیرش غنی‌سازی صفر برای دوره‌ای مشخص، کاهش ذخایر اورانیوم غنی‌شده به زیر 5 درصد برای مصارف صلح‌آمیز، و همکاری با آژانس بین‌المللی انرژی اتمی برای رفع ابهامات فنی.
  2. بعد منطقه‌ای: احترام متقابل به منافع منطقه‌ای و پایان دادن به تنش‌های منطقه‌ای.
  3. تنش ایران و اسرائیل: « فیل در اتاق روابط ایران و آمریکا»، اسرائیل است. نیاز به میانجی‌گری آمریکا برای توقف تهدیدات متقابل نظامی و امنیتی بین اسرائیل و ایران وجود دارد.
  4. روابط ایران با متحدان عرب آمریکا: ایجاد چارچوبی برای همکاری و امنیت جمعی میان ایران و کشورهای عربی حوزه خلیج فارس که به امنیت و ثبات منطقه کمک کند.
  5. توافق جامع متوازن: توافق باید متوازن باشد و آبروی همه طرف‌ها را حفظ کند

جنگ‌ها و درگیری‌ها در منطقه به نفع اسرائیل تمام شده‌اند

سؤال: آیا اسرائیل به بازیگر مسلط منطقه تبدیل شده است؟

بسیاری از جنگ‌ها و بحران‌های چند دهه اخیر، از جمله جنگ عراق علیه ایران و کویت، جنگ‌های آمریکا در عراق و افغانستان، مداخله ناتو در لیبی، جنگ عربستان در یمن و بحران سوریه، در نهایت به نفع اسرائیل تمام شده‌اند و به تقویت موقعیت آن کمک کرده‌اند. این روند با راهبرد نتانیاهو در مورد “اسرائیل بزرگ” همسو بوده است. حملات اخیر آمریکا و اسرائیل به ایران نیز در همین چارچوب قابل تحلیل است. با این حال، حملات موشکی و پهپادی ایران به اسرائیل آسیب قابل توجهی وارد کرد و بازدارندگی منطقه‌ای اسرائیل را تضعیف نمود

پیام ایران به کشورهای خلیج فارس

سئوال: پیام ایران به کشورهای منطقه چیست؟

پیام ایران به کشورهای عربی حوزه خلیج فارس بیشتر به بازنگری در معماری امنیت منطقه‌ای مربوط است. آمریکا به‌تدریج در حال کاهش حضور نظامی خود در منطقه است تا بر رقابت‌های جهانی تمرکز کند. جنگ اخیر نشان داد که پایگاه‌های آمریکا در منطقه نتوانسته‌اند امنیت پایدار ایجاد کنند. نتیجه این است که امنیت منطقه باید بیشتر بر دوش کشورهای خود منطقه باشد، نه قدرت‌های خارجی. این موضوع با مدل مشابه در اروپا درباره ناتو مقایسه می‌شود. در کتابی که در سال 2020 منتشر کردم با عنوان «ساختار جدید امنیت، صلح و همکاری در خلیج فارس»، چارچوبی جامع برای این موضوع ارائه دادم. اگر این دیدگاه‌ها جدی گرفته می‌شد، شاید منطقه از صدها میلیارد دلار خسارت جلوگیری می‌کرد

تحریم‌ها و اقتصاد ایران

سئوال: تاثیر تحریمهای بر ایران چیست؟

تحریم‌های طولانی و فشار اقتصادی، تفکر راهبردی ایران را به شدت تحت تأثیر قرار داده است. حتی پیش از جنگ‌های اخیر، ایران با مشکلات ساختاری اقتصادی مانند بیکاری، فقر و فساد مواجه بود. جنگ‌ها نیز صدها میلیارد دلار خسارت مستقیم و غیرمستقیم ایجاد کردند. این شرایط باعث شده بخشی از تصمیم‌گیران به این نتیجه برسند که ادامه این روند هزینه‌های فزاینده‌ای دارد. منتهی واقعیت این است که بدون توافق با آمریکا، تحریمها برطرف نخواهد شد و مشکلات اقتصادی تشدید خواهد شد. بنابراین رفع تحریم‌ها به اولویت راهبردی تبدیل شده است. منتهی توافق پایدار با واشنگتن، واقع‌بینانه‌ترین مسیر برای ثبات اقتصادی تلقی می‌شود

راه‌حل، توافق جامع است

سئوال: راه توافق پایدار با آمریکا چیست؟

تمام توافق‌های تک موردی میان ایران و آمریکا در 48 سال گذشته شکست خورده‌اند. بنابراین تنها راه، یک توافق جامع است که بطور مرحله‌ای اجراء شود که هدف نهایی آن عادی‌سازی تدریجی روابط و بازگرداندن آن به “وضعیت پس از 1979 و پیش از بحران گروگان‌گیری” باشد

برنامه هسته‌ای و بازدارندگی

سئوال: آیا حملات نظامی آمریکا، استراتژی هسته ای ایران را تغییر داده؟

خیر. منتهی در مقاله‌ای مشترک با پروفسور فرانک فون هیپل در مجله «دانشمندان اتمی» تأکید کردیم که بحران هسته‌ای ایران به سطحی بی‌سابقه رسیده است. تهدیدهای شدید آمریکا، از جمله تهدید به نابودی ایران، می‌تواند هر کشوری را به سمت ایجاد بازدارندگی هسته‌ای سوق دهد

تنگه هرمز و بازدارندگی ایران

سئوال: آیا ایران از تنگه هرمز بعنوان ایزار بازدارندگی استفاده میکند؟

حمله دوم آمریکا باعث شد ایران استفاده از تنگه هرمز را جدی‌تر بررسی کند. اثر این موضوع بر بازارهای جهانی نشان داد که ایران تاکنون صبور بوده و به‌طور کامل از این موضوع مهم بعنوان بازدارندگی استفاده نکرده  اما احتمالاً در آینده نقش مهمی در راهبرد امنیتی ایران خواهد داشت

مقاومت ایران و محاسبات جدید

سئوال: آیا حملات اخیر آمریکا، محاسبات ایران را تغییر داده؟

با وجود خسارات زیادی که آمریکا و اسرائیل به ایران زدند، اما آمریکا و اسرائیل در تحقق اهداف خود برای تغییر نظام ناکام بوده‌اند ضمن اینکه ایران نیز با پاسخ موشکی و پهپادی خود هزینه‌هایی بر طرف مقابل تحمیل کرده است. ایران توانسته در برابر دو موج حملات نظامی آمریکا مقاومت کند و این امر به افزایش اعتماد به نفس و تقویت موقعیت آن در مذاکرات آینده منجر شده است

https://www.elwatannews.com/news/details/8271490