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Former diplomat warns about ‘Triple Alliance’ threat against Iran

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“A few days ago at Willard Hotel, during a meeting on US’ lack of commitment to the Iran-G5+1 nuclear deal, prominent disarmament expert from one of the US think tanks said that despite all the Riyadh-Tel Aviv-Abu Dhabi pressures, the chances are remote that the Congress will decertify the Deal, unless in the coming few weeks, some new developments happen to change the Congress’ equations.”

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“Former diplomat warns about ‘Triple Alliance’ threat against Iran,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, IRNA, November 8, 2017.

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An Iranian Nuclear Business Deal for Trump

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“If the Trump administration’s concern is that after the JCPOA’s major limitations expire by 2040, there is a possibility that Iran will move towards developing nuclear weapons, undermining the JCPOA is illogical, as this will end the JCPOA’s stipulations today and not 2040. Instead, the Trump White House can view the long-term duration of the JCPOA as a way to gain confidence over the nature of Iran’s nuclear program. The best way to do this is to pursue nuclear cooperation with Iran.”

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“An Iranian Nuclear Business Deal for Trump,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Harvard’s Belfer Center, November 1, 2017.

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Trump’s new Iran policy seeks perennial conflict

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“Trump’s decertification of the JCPOA and his ultra-hawkish, anti-Iran rhetoric have not only alienated US allies, but predictably united a usually divided Iranian public behind their government. Moreover, with his vociferous attacks on Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the IRGC, Trump has ruled out any possibility for negotiations with Tehran and put the two countries on a dangerous trajectory toward war.”

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“Trump’s new Iran policy seeks perennial conflict,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Al Monitor, October 18, 2017.

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Iran, Trump and wickedness of neighbor

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“While [former US president Barack] Obama was in the office, Washington avoided attacking Iran and Syria, opted to engage with Iran, accepted the Iran nuclear deal, ratified uranium enrichment and heavy water in Iran, conceded Iran’s removal from chapter seven to the UN charter and annulment of all six international resolutions against Iran and suggested Saudi Arabia that Riyadh should also engage with Iran … These measures by the Obama administration infuriated the Tel Aviv-Riyadh-UAE axis and the ‘neighbor’s sedition’ took form through a hidden but strategic alliance; some of whose effects have been unveiled and some are still to be uncovered.”

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“Iran, Trump and wickedness of neighbor,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, IRNA, October 22, 2017.

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“Trump’s Choice: Iran Deal Model or North Korean Bomb?

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“With tensions on the Korean peninsula at dangerous levels and loose talk of nuclear war, can the JCPOA serve as a model for averting further escalation with North Korea or will Trump’s pressure tactics push Iran to go down North Korea’s path to deter the United States?”

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“Trump’s Choice: Iran Deal Model or North Korean Bomb?” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, LobeLog, October 6, 2017.

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A former Iranian diplomat on what Trump needs to know about Iran

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“It’s clear that decades of estrangement have led to a fundamental misunderstanding of Iran in Washington. Notwithstanding the Obama administration’s nuclear negotiations, every U.S. administration since the 1979 Iranian revolution has failed in its declared objective to contain Iran. If Trump wishes to free future generations of anxiety over U.S.-Iran tensions, he should pay careful attention to five points in formulating his Iran policy.”

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“A former Iranian diplomat on what Trump needs to know about Iran,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Reuters, October 9, 2017.

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What to expect if Trump undoes the Iran nuclear deal

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“Because Trump has put the deal in his crosshairs, advocates of diplomatic engagement with the West in Iran are being discredited. If he goes ahead with his stated wish to undo it, a domestic consensus will form not to trust, negotiate or cooperate with the United States on any future issue.”

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“What to expect if Trump undoes the Iran nuclear deal,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, The Los Angeles Times, September 14, 2017.

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Trump’s options on the nuclear deal with Iran

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“An informed source in Washington who asked to remain anonymous told Al-Monitor that the White House is seeking ways to accuse Iran of technical noncompliance and material breaches of the deal, such as pressuring the International Atomic Energy Agency into demanding access to sensitive military facilities in Iran and using an Iranian rejection as a pretext for withdrawing from the deal; renegotiating the deal to get zero uranium enrichment in Iran or make the current limits on the Iranian nuclear program permanent; and trying to validate a 2016 German intelligence report claiming Iran continued “illegal proliferation-sensitive procurement activities,” despite the fact it was already dismissed by the Barack Obama administration and independent experts.”

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“Trump’s options on the nuclear deal with Iran,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Al Monitor, August 1, 2017.

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Understanding Iranian threat perceptions

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“At its root, the underlying reason behind misconstrued perceptions of Iran’s foreign policy intentions is the lack of dialogue between regional powers. As things stand, there are no fora for regional powers to communicate their concerns and grievances to one another. Instead, rival states resort to self-serving narratives to gain influence in the realm of public opinion.”

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“Understanding Iranian threat perceptions,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Al Monitor, July 14, 2017.