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Commentary: How Bullying Iran Could Backfire for Trump

“Implicit in Trump’s approach is that he can bully and pressure Iran into meeting his demands. However, the track record of U.S.-Iran relations since the 1979 Iranian revolution leaves little room to believe that Iran concedes to pressure. As a former Iranian diplomat who served as the chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee of Iran’s National Security and spokesman for Iran’s nuclear negotiating team, I know from firsthand experience that Tehran responds to pressure by doing everything it can to produce leverage for itself.”

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“Commentary: How Bullying Iran Could Backfire for Trump,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Reuters, May 1, 2018.

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5 potential scenarios for Iran deal

“President Donald Trump’s tapping of Mike Pompeo and John Bolton for secretary of state and national security adviser, respectively, should do away with any pretense that the US administration wishes to ‘fix’ the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). While Trump has long telegraphed his desire to undo the nuclear deal, Pompeo and especially Bolton have long advocated regime-change policies toward Iran, including war. As the May 12 deadline for Trump to renew sanctions waivers under the JCPOA approaches, five scenarios exist for how Trump’s ‘fix it or nix it’ saga on the accord will play out.”

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“5 potential scenarios for Iran deal,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Al Monitor, April 13, 2018.

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The wrong way to address Iran’s missile program

“[T]o discriminate against Iran for its military capabilities while US officials insist on policies of ‘regime change’ and ‘all options on the table’ signals to Iranian decision-makers that the United States seeks to weaken Iran’s means of deterrence to more easily attack it. This, in turn, compels Tehran to invest more in developing effective deterrents. This steers the United States and Iran into an escalatory cycle that could lead to disastrous conflict.”

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“The wrong way to address Iran’s missile program,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Al Monitor, November 21, 2017.

Interviews, مقاله ها

The right question to ask about the Iran nuclear deal

“Trump’s apparent hope that Iran will offer unilateral concessions is questioned by Iran experts. ‘I don’t believe Tehran would be ready at all to renegotiate the deal,’ said Seyed Hossein Mousavian, a former Iranian official who now teaches at Princeton University but remains in touch with his ex-colleagues. He called the idea a ‘nonstarter.’”

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“The right question to ask about the Iran nuclear deal,” David Ignatius, The Washington Post, September 14, 2017.

 

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Understanding Iranian threat perceptions

“At its root, the underlying reason behind misconstrued perceptions of Iran’s foreign policy intentions is the lack of dialogue between regional powers. As things stand, there are no fora for regional powers to communicate their concerns and grievances to one another. Instead, rival states resort to self-serving narratives to gain influence in the realm of public opinion.”

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“Understanding Iranian threat perceptions,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Al Monitor, July 14, 2017.

Interviews, مقاله ها

America’s 4-decade push for regime change in Iran a failure – Iran nuclear deal negotiator

“As Iran goes ahead with new ballistic missile tests and the tone in Washington grows tougher, is the fragile peace between Iran and the US in jeopardy? And can the hard-fought nuclear deal survive the tensions? We ask the man who negotiated the agreement for Iran, former head of the Iranian National Security Council’s Foreign Relations Committee and professor at Princeton university – Seyed Hossein Mousavian.”

“America’s 4-decade push for regime change in Iran a failure – Iran nuclear deal negotiator,” Russia Today, February 20, 2017.

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Assessing the state of the Iran nuclear deal

“There has now been one year of successful Iranian implementation of the JCPOA despite repeated US violations of the spirit of the deal. However, the Trump administration’s saberrattling over Iranian missile tests is set to undo the deal, while its new sanctions under the umbrella of human rights, terrorism, weapons of mass destruction and regional issues are bringing tensions between the US and Iran to dangerous new heights.”

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“Assessing the state of the Iran nuclear deal,” Seyed Hossein Mousavian, The Security Times, February 2017.